Bull and Bear Blog

NASDAQ100 Will Determine The Price And Direction Of Apple

We’ve endured six years of Fed interference and here we are today – approaching all time highs in the indexes and all time highs in Apple.  We overlaid Apple on the NDX on April 21, 2012 and August 30, 2012.  Notice the correlation?  And when markets tank after Yellen’s rambling tomorrow at 200p, we should expect markets to rocket and roll over by Friday or Monday of next week – and guess what?  You can expect Apple to do the same.

Remember too that downside moves don’t give much warning (this can be said too about the V-bottoms too, but when Yellen stops being a nuisance and gets out of the way, this is not the case).  Now that POMO has ended, the Fed has about $100B notional, by our estimates, in bond interest revenue that has more than likely been most spent as POMO was cut back over the past four months.

NDX AAPL 20141028 NASDAQ100 Will Determine The Price And Direction Of Apple

SPX Inverted Relationship With The USD – With USD Up Sharply – SPX Ready To Tank

We have mentioned this inverted relationship a number of times over the months.  This is not a “mechanical relationship”.  There is often a lead or lag period.  Now that the USD has turned up sharply, the question becomes, “how long will it take the SPX to invert and move  downward?”.  Now that Yellen has chosen to exit POMO and has limited capabilities using reverse REPO (RRP), our guess is that a severe market reversal is not far off and in the order of greater than ten percent before any signs of consolidation or retracement.  Thanks Vincent.
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Another Reason Sites Like Fool.com Are More For Herding: 77 Reasons You’re Awful at Managing Money

Here we go again.  Nothing like wasting time reading a stranger’s view about what is wrong with you – okay Morgan, I admit it, I read it.  Rather than a link, I had to get this whole pile of nonsense posted.  Sites like fool.com appeal to those who like to follow the herd.  I have found that news sites cloud the mind when it comes to trading/investing.  There is no greater truth than price and your own opinion is what matters.  If you bought and sold and made a profit, then you are doing better than most professionals.

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Beware Experts Bearing Predictions – A GREAT READ

After reading, say “welcome to reality”.  While it could be argued that we provide “predictions”, our service is focused on posting charts and interpreting indicators tied to market prices that are statistical in nature.  Our few words are there as an opinion, but the charts are there for your own interpretations too.

If you want control over your returns, you have to learn how do it yourself.  It really is that simple.  And what makes it more simple is that the tools to do this are online and in many cases are free.  Times have changed.Click to Read More →

More Financial Media Nonsense – A Transaction Fee Might Save Capital Markets… & Protect Us From Skynet!

Here we go again.

Enjoy the read – it’s a long one – as usual.  And as usual, we the individuals are either encouraged to pay the government / banks more because we are just not smart or responsible enough.  In this case, we are being saved so one can assume we are not smart enough to save ourselves.  The reality is that articles like these set in motion ideas that governments and banks need to confiscate more from those who trade.  Banks in particular Click to Read More →

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