Bull and Bear Blog

German DAX Up 37.4% In Five Months – And You Thought US Markets Were A Central Banking Joke

Just for fun, it took 21 weeks to arrive here.  Five weeks were red.  And for even more fun, this is an annualized rate of 89.6%.   The DAX has grown more than THREE TIMES what it was in 2009. None of this really needs to be spoken about - the chart below speaks for itself.  Higher taxes, more debt, more struggle, more poverty, bigger government and this is what central bankers have to show for it.  Disgusting.

 

DAX-SPX-20150302

US Dollar Continues To Get Stronger And We Expect S&P500 To Collapse As A Result And In Short Order

We are watching the relationship between the S&P500 and the US Dollar get bent over backwards.  Our first posting of this pending disaster was back on September 30 as the US Dollar was well into its breakout.

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Time Is Running Out – Why Gold Looks Ready To Collapse To $600 An Ounce

We initially called for and end to wave [1] / start of wave [2] at the end of October, but for two months, gold has not bounced (as is often the case with a higher degree wave [2] start in bear or bull markets).  Time is running out for the move after October to convince us it is in fact a wave [2] up.Click to Read More →

CCI Shows Different Than CRB But Deflation Message Is Clear – As Central Banks Continue To Pump Stock Markets

The CRB vs SPX commentary we posted last week showed a somewhat different picture than this week's CCI vs SPX brief.

The CRB has much heavier weighting for WTI Oil and varying weights for the 19 commodities that make up this index.  The CCI balances all 17 commodities included in its index (includes WTI Oil) equally.  But as you can clearly see, after the fall in mid 2011, commodities continued sideways down and the S&P500 DOUBLED.

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PENDING STOCK MARKET TRAIN WRECK AS – DEFLATION – PICKS UP MOMENTUM – And Central Banks Are Out Of Ideas

The CRB Index - the Commodity Research Bureau's index of commodities - has been struggling to stay up since 2011.  Notice the collapse in 2008.  This index is comprised of energies, metals, softs and agricultural commodity prices.  This index is a true reflection of the health of the US economy.  As the CRB rises, the economy tends to be in "good shape".  As the CRB falls, the economy tends to slow.

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